Game 26: Georgetown Hoyas (13-12, 4-8) vs Marquette Golden Eagles (15-9, 6-6)
Series: Tied 11-11
Where/When: Verizon Center
KenPom: Georgetown 80-79, 54 percent
Line: Hoyas -2.5
“We still have opportunities in front of us. I’ve said that the last two weeks and it’s still true.” Coach John Thompson III ahead of the Gray Out game against Marquette
While the above statement is technically true, it’s nearly past its sell by date. And by definition one could keep saying that opportunities will continue through the final media timeout in the BIG EAST Tournament.
After nearly coming all the way back from a 17 point deficit before ultimately falling at No. 2 Villanova on Tuesday night, Georgetown is four games below .500 in the league with just six games to go. While the computers continue to like Georgetown about as much as possible for a team with 12 losses, the Hoyas need to win more and win now.
Georgetown lost the first meeting this season to Marquette 76-66 in the BIG EAST opener for both teams way back in the end of December. The Hoyas came out flat and immediately trailed 11-0 in a game where LJ Peak tweaked his groin en route to a season low four points.
Six weeks later we have a pretty good idea as to who the Golden Eagles are at this point. They score really well but can be allergic to defending as proven by the fact that they lost to St. John’s.
The biggest issue with Georgetown is that it’s Game 26 and it’s very clear that the lineups aren’t set. In the last game we saw some strange lineups in both the first and second halves and not solely because of foul troubles. I used to argue with Ben Standig that I didn’t mind the ever changing minutes between Jessie Govan and Bradley Hayes but the lack of a plan from game to game is definitely an issue.
A loss to Marquette will be back-to-back non winning seasons in the BIG EAST for the first time under JT3.
BET Seeding: Georgetown is still in the 9 spot and needs to pass three teams to avoid Wednesday night at the Garden. The Hoyas need to be a game ahead of Providence since they were swept by the Friars and will need to beat Seton Hall and St. John’s to have a realistic chance on starting their BET run after the play in games.
NCAA: I’ve seen the argument that 4-2 might still somehow do it but when you add in the BET loss you end up with 15 L’s. I don’t see that being enough even with a possible Villanova win on the resume. So that puts Georgetown needing to go 5-1 the rest of the way. That means Georgetown can afford to lose one game. Marquette would be a bad game to pick.
NIT or at least a .500 final record: This was looking pretty good just a few games ago but now Georgetown has to go 3-3 down the stretch to guarantee a non losing record this season. Reaching 16 wins before the BIG EAST tournament seems rather unlikely with a home loss to Marquette.
Reason to be cynical: Georgetown can’t get consistent stops without fouling and Marquette can score points in bunches.
Reason to be delusional: Well if you’re still reading these game previews 26 games in on a 13-12 team I think you’re delusion level is doing just fine on it’s own.
Prediction: Marquette 82, Georgetown 77