FanPost

Xavier, Seton Hall & Marquette Tempo-Free Box Scores

Sorry for the delay in getting these out, but I've been busy with work. However, its absolutely miserable in DC right now so today seems like a good day to catch up. Since the last time I checked in, Georgetown's net efficiency rating dropped by 4 points per 100 possessions and hopefully the tables below will shed some light into how that happened:

Away - Georgetown Home - Xavier
1st Half 2nd Half Total 1st Half 2nd Half Total
Pace 31 32
Points 42 25 67 29 51 80
Efficiency 139.4 81.2 111.6 99.5 150.7 126.9
Dunk % N/A 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Layup% 28.6% 25.0% 26.7% 61.5% 50.0% 56.0%
(Dunk + Layup)% 28.6% 33.3% 31.3% 64.3% 53.8% 59.3%
2-Pt Jumper% 61.5% 37.5% 52.4% 27.3% 75.0% 40.0%
2-Pt% 50.0% 35.3% 43.2% 48.0% 58.8% 52.4%
3-Pt Jumper% 63.6% 42.9% 55.6% 16.7% 55.6% 40.0%
Jumper% 62.5% 40.0% 53.8% 23.5% 61.5% 40.0%
FT% 100.0% 57.1% 62.5% 100.0% 80.0% 81.8%
Dunk Rate 0.0% 3.0% 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 2.7%
Layup Rate 20.3% 24.2% 22.2% 37.3% 30.9% 33.9%
(Dunk + Layup) Rate 22.3% 28.1% 25.2% 45.3% 39.6% 42.4%
2-Pt Jumper Rate 37.7% 24.2% 31.1% 31.5% 10.3% 20.4%
2-Pt Rate 60.0% 52.2% 56.3% 76.9% 49.9% 62.8%
3-Pt Jumper Rate 31.9% 21.2% 26.7% 17.2% 23.2% 20.4%
Jumper Rate 69.7% 45.3% 57.8% 48.7% 33.5% 40.7%
FT Rate 1.3% 9.3% 5.2% 2.5% 22.7% 13.1%
Effictive Field Goal % 66.1% 43.8% 56.4% 43.5% 67.3% 54.4%
True Shooting % 66.8% 46.2% 57.2% 45.5% 73.3% 60.0%
Assist Rate 47.1% 55.6% 50.0% 46.2% 73.3% 60.7%
Unforced TOV Rate 5.8% 3.0% 4.4% 8.6% 5.2% 6.8%
Forced TOV Rate 2.9% 15.1% 8.9% 0.0% 5.2% 2.7%
TOV Rate 8.7% 18.1% 13.3% 8.6% 10.3% 9.5%
Block Rate 12.9% 12.5% 12.7% 0.0% 11.5% 5.3%
OR% 25.0% 15.4% 20.0% 33.3% 30.0% 35.5%
DR% 66.7% 70.0% 64.5% 75.0% 84.6% 80.0%
  • Xavier Heat Map
  • Georgetown had one of their best 3-point shooting games of the season at 55.6%, but was unable to turn it into a victory. Despite having success on the perimeter, Georgetown could not score close to the basket and managed a meager 25.2% field goal percentage for shots close to the rim.
  • The Hoyas did a good job of holding onto the ball at a below-average 13.3% turnover rate, but were only able to turn Xavier over that much (9.5%). Xavier controlled the glass throughout the game, particularly on the defensive side where they held Georgetown to a 20% ORB rate.
  • Georgetown's defense fell apart again in the second half; allowing Xavier to score at an efficiency of 150.7 pts per 100 possessions. Some of this resulted from Xavier's hot shooting on jump shots (75% on 2pt jumpers, 55.6% on 3 pt jumpers), but the Hoyas' defensive breakdowns allowed Xavier to finish 42.4% of their possessions with a shot at the rim, which is typically one of the most efficient shots in basketball unless your center is Mikael Hopkins.
  • This is also going to be evident in the next two tables as well, but I'm starting to think that the lack of depth may be one of the causes of the second half breakdowns. Teams have shot well against Georgetown from 3 in the second halves of the last few games and maybe some of this is the result of fatigued players having trouble with defensive rotations.

Home - Georgetown Away - Seton Hall
1st Half 2nd Half Total 1st Half 2nd Half Total
Pace 31 29
Points 35 22 57 26 40 66
Efficiency 117.0 78.5 98.8 82.3 142.6 111.0
Dunk % 100.0% N/A 100.0% N/A N/A N/A
Layup% 85.7% 66.7% 76.9% 42.9% 54.5% 50.0%
(Dunk + Layup)% 87.5% 66.7% 78.6% 42.9% 54.5% 50.0%
2-Pt Jumper% 16.7% 14.3% 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2-Pt% 45.0% 38.5% 42.4% 16.7% 46.2% 29.0%
3-Pt Jumper% 42.9% 9.1% 22.2% 50.0% 62.5% 55.0%
Jumper% 26.3% 11.1% 18.9% 26.1% 50.0% 33.3%
FT% 100.0% 69.2% 81.0% 28.6% 61.9% 53.6%
Dunk Rate 2.9% 0.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Layup Rate 20.3% 15.9% 18.0% 17.9% 32.1% 24.5%
(Dunk + Layup) Rate 26.2% 20.9% 23.6% 21.8% 40.4% 30.3%
2-Pt Jumper Rate 34.8% 18.6% 26.3% 28.1% 5.8% 17.7%
2-Pt Rate 61.0% 39.4% 49.9% 50.0% 46.2% 48.1%
3-Pt Jumper Rate 20.3% 29.2% 24.9% 30.7% 23.4% 27.3%
Jumper Rate 55.0% 47.7% 51.2% 58.9% 29.2% 45.0%
FT Rate 10.2% 15.2% 12.8% 7.9% 27.0% 16.8%
Effictive Field Goal % 50.0% 27.1% 39.2% 40.0% 64.3% 50.0%
True Shooting % 57.3% 37.0% 47.3% 39.3% 66.1% 52.1%
Assist Rate 75.0% 83.3% 77.8% 66.7% 72.7% 70.0%
Unforced TOV Rate 5.8% 8.0% 6.9% 10.2% 2.9% 6.8%
Forced TOV Rate 5.8% 13.3% 9.7% 5.1% 8.8% 6.8%
TOV Rate 11.6% 21.2% 16.6% 15.4% 11.7% 13.6%
Block Rate 11.1% 8.3% 9.8% 3.3% 0.0% 2.0%
OR% 19.0% 58.8% 36.8% 42.1% 38.9% 40.5%
DR% 57.9% 61.1% 59.5% 81.0% 41.2% 63.2%
  • Seton Hall Heat Map
  • I feel a little bit better about this game after looking at the box score considering that Georgetown shot 22.2% from 3 compared to 55% from Seton Hall. Georgetown also only converted 15.8% of two point jumpers, so it was a bad shooting day all around.
  • Although Georgetown shot 76.9% close to the rim, only 23.6% of their possessions ended in a shot attempt from that position. On defense, the Hoyas held the Pirates to 50% on close shots, but after a good first half on defense, Georgetown fell apart again in the second half and allowed the Pirates to finish possessions close to the basket at twice the rate of the first half.
  • Both teams had strong days on the offensive glass, especially Seton Hall who outperformed their average ORB rate by 12% and were able to secure extra possessions in the second half to complete the comeback.

Home - Georgetown Away - Marquette
1st Half 2nd Half Total 1st Half 2nd Half Total
Pace 32 38
Points 27 45 72 28 52 80
Efficiency 85.6 127.9 107.6 91.3 135.8 116.7
Dunk % N/A 50.0% 50.0% N/A 100.0% 100.0%
Layup% 36.4% 55.6% 45.0% 25.0% 42.9% 36.4%
(Dunk + Layup)% 36.4% 54.5% 45.5% 25.0% 46.7% 39.1%
2-Pt Jumper% 14.3% 33.3% 26.3% 41.7% 71.4% 52.6%
2-Pt% 27.8% 43.5% 36.6% 35.0% 54.5% 45.2%
3-Pt Jumper% 30.0% 50.0% 40.0% 42.9% 40.0% 41.2%
Jumper% 23.5% 40.9% 33.3% 42.1% 52.9% 47.2%
FT% 80.0% 71.4% 75.0% 62.5% 94.1% 84.0%
Dunk Rate 0.0% 4.6% 2.4% 0.0% 2.2% 1.2%
Layup Rate 27.9% 20.9% 24.2% 22.5% 30.8% 27.2%
(Dunk + Layup) Rate 34.0% 28.8% 31.2% 25.4% 38.0% 32.4%
2-Pt Jumper Rate 17.8% 27.8% 23.0% 33.8% 15.4% 23.5%
2-Pt Rate 51.7% 56.6% 54.2% 59.2% 53.4% 55.9%
3-Pt Jumper Rate 25.4% 23.2% 24.2% 19.7% 22.0% 21.0%
Jumper Rate 43.1% 51.0% 47.2% 53.5% 37.4% 44.4%
FT Rate 11.2% 14.3% 12.8% 9.9% 16.4% 13.6%
Effictive Field Goal % 33.9% 53.0% 44.3% 42.6% 56.3% 50.0%
True Shooting % 41.7% 57.5% 50.3% 45.9% 65.9% 57.1%
Assist Rate 62.5% 40.0% 47.8% 50.0% 62.5% 57.7%
Unforced TOV Rate 12.7% 4.6% 8.5% 0.0% 4.4% 2.5%
Forced TOV Rate 5.1% 4.6% 4.8% 14.1% 8.8% 11.1%
TOV Rate 17.8% 9.3% 13.3% 14.1% 13.2% 13.6%
Block Rate 14.3% 15.2% 14.8% 11.1% 6.3% 8.5%
OR% 34.8% 38.5% 36.1% 23.5% 38.1% 32.4%
DR% 76.5% 61.9% 67.6% 65.2% 61.5% 63.9%
  • Marquette Heat Map
  • Although Marquette has had a disappointing year so far, their defense has actually been quite good with an efficiency of 90.76 points per 100 possessions and its important to review Georgetown's offense in that context. The Hoyas struggled to score inside, particularly in the first half, but were able to perform at about their season average of efficiency through strong outside shooting.
  • Elsewhere on offense, Georgetown again had an above average game in terms of limiting turnovers and both teams rebounded at rates near their season averages.
  • On defense, the Hoyas did a good job in defending the paint and much of Marquette's success in the second half came from shooting 71.4% from 2-pt jumpers and 94.1% on foul shots. Taken together, I would say that Georgetown's defense was slightly unlucky in this game.
  • The Hoyas did manage to block shots at a St. John's rate of 14.8% for the game.

Adjusted 3-pt Makes

This doesn't account for shot selection, but can help to calm down everyone's emotional swings by trying to adjust for volatility. A positive number indicates that the expected points were greater than the realized points. For players w/ 25+ attempts, shooting percentages are from this season and if not shooting percentages for each player are from the 2012-2013 season when available. Otherwise, the team's 3-pt percentage for the 2013-2014 season is used in the calculation for each player.

XAV +0.4 / GTOWN - 10.5 / XAV +10.9

HALL - 11.0 / GTOWN +7.0 / GTOWN +18.0

MARQ -6.3 / GTOWN - 2.7 / GTOWN +3.6

Stay Casual, my friends.

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