Georgetown Hoyas First Quarter Analysis
The Georgetown Hoyas are slogging away diligently on their coursework this week, so it's only natural for us to release our Casual first quarter analysis (9 games so far, 29 scheduled+ 3 Big East+ 6 NCAA for those of you wondering what delusional math puts us at the quarter mark). Rather than dish out grades to the team, let's take a closer look at how this team has performed relative to certain expectations.
The team as a whole:
Jason has shot the ball well, but even though he's been draining from deep (up until last few games) we knew he could do that. His handle was suspect coming in and it remained to be seen if he was a true #1 option. Well, despite not being a creator for others, I can't remember a time I've worried about his handle all season and he's been the best at the team getting dribble-drive penetration into the lane. He's been using those wildly long arms for an array of difficult finishes and in the second most important shot of the year, he stepped up and put away Memphis in OT with a deep three.
Hollis has let the hair grow the longest in his career, and he's helped put the knew look front and center with the most beautiful jumper in the nation. I can't remember ever seeing live a jump shooter scoring more effortlessly than Hollis over NJIT -- the Ninjas might has well have not been on the court. His offensive rating is an astounding 133.4 (25th in the country) and he is slowly taking on a greater offensive burden. Oh, and that Albama game...
There are five starters on the team -- and there are five finishers. Otto hasn't started a game this season, but he's always on the floor at the end of the game when it matters most. He already has a Casual Award named after him: The Otto Porter Award for Filling the Boxscore. Here's why: he's 3rd on the team in minutes, first in rebounds, second in steals, third highest offensive rating, fourth in points, second lowest turnover percentage, second in blocks, so on and so forth. In short, he does almost everything very well and his presence seems to anchor both the offense and defense. The one drawback is that he's about 15 percentage points from 3 away from immortality: he's shooting 24% from three and he's rimmed out a number of almost-game changing shots -- notably late in the Alabama game that would've eliminated the need for Hollis' heroics.
It's easy to focus on Otto alone or the incredible improvement from the upperclassmen, but the freshman class a whole have totally shifted the attitude of the Georgetown Hoyas. Jabril Trawick's energy and impeccable defensive stance have been a joy to have deep off the bench, Mikael Hopkins has shown some great aggressive moments, and Greg Whittington has shown flashed of brilliance as the 6-A man off the bench -- including a timely putback against Memphis at the end of regulation.
It's seems like ages ago that the ACC switch was the most obnoxious thing our Canadian rivals could muster... now it like they are attempting to top daily objective is to find new reasons to make the institution more easy to hate.
One area that's been lacking. Henry's missed a couple slams and Jabril, winner of the Midnight Madness dunking contest and leaper extraordinaire, has miffed on too already. Even Otto's dunks that go in don't seem all that thunderous -- apparently incredibly long thin arms that are excellent for causing steals and creating fast breaks are not similarly well-equipped for Sportscenter dunks.
Speaking of dunks, a couple of nickname worthy dunks by Nate Lubick over cupcakes have added some positive glean to his year, but I'd be lying if there haven't been some red flags raised early in this year. He's looks great, even dominant against mid-major competition, but against Kansas, Memphis and Alabama, the big fella was slow and ineffective (at best). Especially with the recent developments about Tyler Adams health condition, the day will almost certainly come where we'll need Nate's strength inside against a high-major team with a true power forward... so we'll need to hope Nate's ready for that challenge.
Yes, the home slate has been weak and yes, finals are stressful... but Georgetown is Nationally Ranked Powerhouse!!!! Put your flashcards in your pockets and look through them at half and on the metro if it makes you feel better. The quality of this team deserved better than a few spotted rows in behind the basket.
There are a few cynical questions that must be raised when peering into the future:
1) What can we expect from Jason Clark? Clark similarly started shooting out of his mind early in the season last year, but couldn't sustain it. His recent slump at least raises the question about what level of 3-point performance we can expect from him.
2) Similarly, with even more lurking doubts, is can Henry keep this up? There's absolutely zero reason to think he cannot based on on-court play -- he's been incredibly consistent and dependable... but after three years, is this really a mirage or cool trick?
3) Depth inside: Tyler Adams is out indefinitely, Nate has been a step slow, and we've relied heavily on Otto/Hollis at the four. Can this pass for a full year?
Delusion Trumps:
These questions exist, but right they shouldn't keep any Hoya fans up at night. Why? Because this team is only scratching the surface of it's potential. They're already playing tremendous team defense, forcing turnovers, getting out on breaks, and running a crisp half court offense -- and we haven't seen the best they have yet. Otto still getting his footing as an outside shooter and as a creator for himself; Whittington and Trawick have shown great offensive potential against elite opponents and even upperclassmen Henry, Hollis and Jason seem to be growing into their leadership roles.
As much as I'd like the Kansas game back with the recent stumbles of Memphis and Alabama, it's probably for the best this team lost that game. You cannot question the hunger and dedication of this team as a whole -- it's clear they have high aims.
The Sweet 16 has turned from a pipe dream... to a pretty standard expectation. That's a helluva first quarter. Let's hope the rest of the season follows suit.
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Nate
We really need Nate at full speed. Although I absolutely love Otto, a strong Nate is going to be critical in conference play. I see a big break-out game for him coming this weekend.
We need Nate and Hopkins
Hopkins has a good first step in the post but looks lost on his second step, he really needs to pick up this offense a lot faster. I like his strenght but once again he just looks lost and this really surprises me given that he was at ever home game last year sitting behind the teams bench.
Eastcoastteddy
by Melvin M. Tuggle III on Dec 14, 2011 10:52 AM EST up reply actions
Besides that
The only thing that really doesn’t work for me is the dunking point. Did anyone really expect us to all of a sudden become a team that frequently throws down ferocious dunks? I think at this rate we’re on pace to exceed my personal expectations for dunking numbers.
by J-Wall's Mom's Broom on Dec 14, 2011 11:34 AM EST up reply actions
They've exceeded my DaJuan Summers Special expectations
of missed dunks.
by thejerseytornado on Dec 14, 2011 12:21 PM EST up reply actions
to a not so unrealistic expectation*
Or that’s how I’d phrase it given the chance. Just relax and enjoy the delusion train! (We’re top 20 team who we think hasn’t reached their full potential — not absurd to think they have chance to be one of 16 left standing)
by TheMidRangeGame on Dec 14, 2011 12:43 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I thought strong showing at BE tourney and first round exits became the standard expectation.
Obviously...
enjoy
not making the NIT again this year.
You would’ve gotten blown out by FIU last night if their best player didn’t go out with an injury.
by hoyasincebirth on Dec 15, 2011 9:53 AM EST up reply actions
blue on blue
I believe soya is a friendly. Note the finely honed display of cynicism (also excellent desecration of the turtle in his avatar).
Hammer of the Cuse
I'm glad you caught that, it's hard to tell friend from foe!!!!!
Nice catch!!!!!!
Eastcoastteddy
by Melvin M. Tuggle III on Dec 15, 2011 5:10 PM EST up reply actions
Cans Sims Keep it up?
I really really really hope he can. We didn’t have great depth at the center position last year ether, but JuJu really stepped up in beginning of the season. As BE play rolled along though you could tell he was slowing down, not from a lack of intensity or passion or skill but from conditioning. He just wasn’t used to playing 23 mins a game and being the only big man on the floor (aka with out Greg). I really hope this doesnt happen to Hank too. I think his conditioning is better than JuJu’s was, and I think his heart is where it needs to be now, but there is no way to know how he will respond when teams start committing to shutting him down inside the was some BE teams will do. If come the end of BE play and into the BE tourny he his still giving quality minutes, not even from a point production standpoint, I think we are in good shape. If Nate can get his act together and take some of the pressure off of him than I think we are in really good shape.
"That is crap. It is unfair."
by Iwillpaytheway!! on Dec 14, 2011 12:07 PM EST reply actions
This is the key I think to our succes in BE play
besides JC still getting open looks from deep. And given the grind you mention – getting both Hopkins and Thundersnow to play passable is important.
by bunk moreland on Dec 14, 2011 12:12 PM EST up reply actions
Hank and JuJu play a different game
JuJu had to rely on outworking guys because he wasn’t particularly tall, wasn’t a particularly fast athlete, and was a liability in the high post so he banged more. JuJu’s style was particularly prone to getting gassed.
Sims can stay outside of the low post on offense a lot and still do damage. His defense is predicated less on pushing and muscling opponents and more on using his length to disrupt even low post moves.
Not saying he won’t break down, but saying at least his style of play is better than JuJu’s for lasting through the whole season. Plus, Lubick can rotate to defend some post players when necessary to give Sims a rest and there really aren’t many big, bruising centers left because they all leave for the NBA after a year. Herb Pope’s about it in the big east. Mouph? rest of the team is just a fail. Gates? I guess, but cincy looks completely out of sorts to me right now.
by thejerseytornado on Dec 14, 2011 12:21 PM EST up reply actions
I was thinking about BE teams making a concerted effort to shut him down
As you mention…and then I had a vision of Hank not giving a single !@#$ and going beast mode on them. Despite my best efforts to keep it reined in, delusion has taken hold.
by J-Wall's Mom's Broom on Dec 14, 2011 12:49 PM EST up reply actions
Maintaining the Beast!!!!!!!!!!!
Any and every team in the Big East would do well to attack Sims straight out of the gate. I remember a JT3 line up from last year where JV, Sim, and Nate were all on the floor at the same time. I can see this same line up being used against Connecticut and Syracuse but only in limited spurts. It may not same ideal but it may pay off on offensive and defensive rebounds while keeping Sims out of foul trouble.
Eastcoastteddy
by Melvin M. Tuggle III on Dec 14, 2011 2:06 PM EST reply actions
Markel
has looked better and better since the Savannah St game.
After that last, unholy row,
I never, ever play, basketball now.
It joins a list of things I'll miss like fencing foils and lovely girls I'll never kiss.
Hmmm...
Looks like should be a contributor for the Casual crew….I post Winn’s piece at 12:10, and you guys get it up at 12:13?
Still waiting to see who is going to be our 1st Big East Beast Award receipient
1. ??
2. ??
3. ????
Eastcoastteddy
by Melvin M. Tuggle III on Dec 14, 2011 3:57 PM EST reply actions

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