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Bye Bye Double Bye: A Look at the Big East Tournament

Our beloved Georgetown Hoyas were sitting pretty for a top 4 seed in the Big East Tournament eight days ago, then they lost to the juggernaut that is Rutgers and couldn't complete a comeback against Syracuse.  Now the Hoyas are in 7th place in the Big East, but still have an outside shot of getting a top 4 seed by beating Louisville and West Virginia on the road.  For a team that hasn't won three straight games in the Big East since 2007-2008, this seems like a tall task.  For now, the GLOBAL PHENOMENON will use Ken Pomeroy to project the rest of the Big East regular season and then lay out the Big East Tournament.

73544770_medium

Yeah.... so find out how delusional I really am after the jump (via cache4.asset-cache.net)

Star-divide

#1 Syracuse (Currently 25-2, 12-2, 1st Place):

Next 4 games:

Win @ Providence, Win vs. Villanova, Win vs. St. Johns, Win @ Louisville.

Projected Record: 29-2, 16-2, 1st Place

Super news.  Pretty sure that's the most wins in the Big East regular season since the conference moved to 16 teams.  Super duper.

#2 Pittsburgh (Currently 21-6, 10-4, 3rd Place):

Next 4 games:

Win @ Notre Dame, Win @ St. Johns, Win vs. Providence, Win vs. Rutgers

Projected Record: 25-6, 14-4, 2nd Place

Jamie Dixon should be the national coach of the year, no questions asked.  He lost DeJuan Blair, Levance Fields and Sam Young and will finish 2nd in the Big East.  Seriously?  Also, how did this team lose to Indiana?

#3 Villanova (Currently 22-4, 11-3, 2nd Place):

Next 4 games:

Win vs. South Florida, Loss @ Syracuse, Win @ Cincinnati, Win vs. West Virginia

Projected Record: 25-5, 14-4, 3rd Place

Always fun when our two biggest rivals finish 1st and 3rd in the conference. FML.

#4 West Virginia (Currently 21-5, 10-4, 4th Place):

Next 4 games:

Win @ Connecticut, Win vs. Cincinnati, Win vs. Georgetown, Loss @ Villanova

Projected Record: 24-6, 13-5, 4th Place

I think Ken Pom's ratings are drunk this year.  He currently has Duke at #1 and West Virginia at #3.  No way we lose to West Virginia on the road, right?  Just kidding, we're going to get slaughtered.

#5 Marquette (Currently 17-9, 8-6, 6th Place):

Next 4 games:

Win @ St. Johns, Win @ Seton Hall, Win vs. Louisville, Win vs. Notre Dame

Projected Record: 20-10, 12-6, 5th Place

12-6 seems really inflated for Marquette, Ken Pom doesn't know anything, the guy has Duke as the best team in the country.

#6 Louisville (Currently 18-9, 9-5, 5th Place):

Next 4 games:

Win vs. Georgetown, Loss @ Connecticut, Loss @ Marquette, Loss vs. Syracuse

Projected Record: 19-12, 10-8, 6th Place

Does Louisville need a strong Big East Tournament run to get into the NCAAs if these projections hold true?  Those losses to Charlotte and Western Carolina are less than stellar for their tournament resume.

#7 Georgetown (Currently 18-7, 8-6, 7th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss @ Louisville, Win vs. Notre Dame, Loss @ West Virginia, Win vs. Cincinnati

Projected Record: 20-9, 10-8, 7th Place

I think we're going to go 3-1 in this stretch, but I can't really argue.  Georgetown probably drives his mutant computer brain crazy.  In the last month we beat his #1 team at home and lost to his #149 team (Rutgers).

#8 Connecticut (Currently 16-11, 6-8, 11th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss vs. West Virginia, Win vs. Louisville, Loss @ Notre Dame, Win @ South Florida

Projected Record: 18-13, 8-10, 8th Place

Georgetown needs UConn to beat West Virginia and Louisville, if this doesn't happen, we have no chance at getting a top 4 seed.  We also have no chance at getting a top 4 seed because we haven't won 3 straight games since December.

#9 South Florida (Currently 16-10, 6-8, 12th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss @ Villanova, Win vs. Providence, Win @ Depaul, Loss vs. Connecticut

Projected Record: 18-12, 8-10, 9th Place

Y'all came to see Dominique Jones play (in the NIT).

#10 Seton Hall (Currently 15-10, 6-8, 10th Place):

Next 4 games:

Win vs. Rutgers, Loss vs. Marquette, Win @ Rutgers, Loss @ Providence

Projected Record: 17-12, 8-10, 10th Place

Seton Hall really shouldn't overlook Rutgers, they are really good.

#11 Cincinnati (Currently 15-11, 6-8, 8th Place):

Next 4 games:

Win vs. Depaul, Loss @ West Virginia, Loss vs. Villanova, Loss @ Georgetown

Projected Record: 16-13, 7-11, 11th Place

Lance "Born Ready" Stephenson seems to be ready for a career in Europe.  Count it.

#12 Notre Dame (Currently 17-10, 6-8, 9th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss vs. Pittsburgh, Loss @ Georgetown, Win vs. Connecticut, Loss @ Marquette

Projected Record: 18-13, 7-11, 12th Place

Luke Harangody for Player of the Year.

#13 St. Johns (Currently 15-11, 5-9, 13th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss vs. Marquette, Loss vs. Pittsburgh, Loss @ Syracuse, Win @ Depaul

Projected Record: 16-14, 6-12, 13th Place

Norm Roberts - coming to a high school gym near you.

#14 Providence (Currently 12-14, 4-10, 14th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss vs. Syracuse, Loss @ South Florida, Loss @ Pittsburgh, Win vs. Seton Hall

Projected Record: 13-17, 5-13, 14th Place

Year 2 of the Keno Davis project did not turn out to be as special as hoped.

#15 Rutgers (Currently 14-13, 4-10, 15th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss @ Seton Hall, Win vs. Depaul, Loss vs. Seton Hall, Loss @ Pittsburgh

Projected Record: 15-16, 5-13, 15th Place

So glad to be one of those 5 wins for Rutgers.  So glad I was there to witness it in person.  So glad to watch Mike Rosario salsa dance 4 feet from my face.  So glad to be a Georgetown fan.

#16 Depaul (Currently 8-18, 1-13, 16th Place):

Next 4 games:

Loss @ Cincinnati, Loss @ Rutgers, Loss vs. South Florida, Loss vs. St. Johns

Projected Record: 8-22, 1-17, 16th Place

Depaul a solid 1-35 in Big East play the last two years.  You should feel shame Marquette.

Bet_standings2_medium
(Click picture to make it big and legible)

Whoa, whoa, whoa.  So if these seeds hold, we'd get to play either Rutgers or Seton Hall in the first round.  Isn't that fun?  Assuming Seton Hall knock off Rutgers, I mean who can't beat Rutgers, this bracket actually sets up pretty nicely for a solid run to the finals, if we could like win more than two games in a row.  GLOBAL PHENOMENON BOLD PREDICTION ALERT.   Georgetown will be in the finals of the Big East Tournament.  You heard it here first.

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Comments

Display:

we gonna lose out

and not be invited to the BET for sucking so bad

my bold prediction

Good talk.

by Hire Esherick on Feb 22, 2010 9:39 AM EST reply actions  

I'm beginning to think

that hire esherick and jeff green’s dad are one person, one bipolar person. In fact, i’m beginning to wonder if management of casual hoya isn’t one person and this blog is just part of the multiple personality therapy program.

by sleepyhoya on Feb 22, 2010 10:04 AM EST up reply actions  

I would love to smackdown Rutgers

Pitt and Nova are beatable. I’d love that bracket – not bad for a 7 seed. Love that WV and Cuse would get to play each other before we had to play either.

I can have oodles of charm when I want to.

by aja32 on Feb 22, 2010 9:51 AM EST reply actions  

Ghosts of BET Past

I had a chance to see Roy up close against the Hornets a few days ago and was extremely impressed. His footwork in the post has improved dramatically, he runs the court well, and he plays with a fire that’s distinctly lacking in most of his teammates not named Danny Granger.

The best part of the game, however, was when the Hornets brought in the newly acquired Aaron Gray to give Emeka Okafor a breather for 2 minutes. Since I hadn’t seen Roy and Gray battle since the BET finals in that memorable beatdown of Pitt, I had to snap a pic with my Blackberry Bold to capture the moment forever.

Casually.

by CasualHoya on Feb 22, 2010 10:01 AM EST reply actions  

I can't believe how athletic he looks.

Roy, of course. Aaron Gray looks like the only weightlifting he’s been doing is bringing Wendy’s Baconator to his mouth.

Why so Syracuse?

by HoyaJoker07 on Feb 22, 2010 10:11 AM EST up reply actions  

that game was so much fun

there is a great highlights video on youtube that served as a nice study break for the remainder of my time at georgetown

I can have oodles of charm when I want to.

by aja32 on Feb 22, 2010 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

All we need

We just need to win out, have WV also lose to Nova, and have Marquette lose to someone (maybe at Seton Hall?), and we’d get the 4 seed. Easy, right?

by pswib on Feb 22, 2010 10:07 AM EST reply actions  

That damn Rutgers game

things could be so much different

Good talk.

by Hire Esherick on Feb 22, 2010 10:29 AM EST reply actions  

Rutgers and USF

Difference between 10 – 4 and 8 – 6 is huge.

And don’t even think about if we’d pulled out some of the close ones:

@Nova, @Marquette, v. Cuse

Those are the games that the 07-08 team always seemed to find a way to win. I think this team would be like that next year if Greg stays. But we’ve lost some heartbreakers even when playing 2nd half lights out.

I can have oodles of charm when I want to.

by aja32 on Feb 22, 2010 10:46 AM EST up reply actions  

Coach of the Year

If Dixon doesn’t get it, it’s a crock. Wholly confused by the brain surgeons at ESPN who keep explaining that Coach Cal should get it for keeping egos in check.

So having the big pocketbook to get the kids to follow him from Memphis to Kentucky, having the talking heads declare the team #2 and then doing exactly as expected means you’re the best coach in the country? By that logic, why isn’t Self at Kansas the best because they’ve remained #1?

by itsallthatmatters on Feb 22, 2010 10:30 AM EST reply actions  

I wouldnt be surprised if Boeheim gets it in BE

Just because he will whine, cry and bitch if he doesnt.

Buzz Williams should get some attention to at Marquette if they finish fifth. They lost McNeal, Matthews and James this year

Good talk.

by Hire Esherick on Feb 22, 2010 10:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, I'm afraid it'll be Boeheim

I don’t think you should get Coach of the Year so soon after being so weird and suspect during the Devendorf stuff.

Why so Syracuse?

by HoyaJoker07 on Feb 22, 2010 3:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Gtown's Failtures All Capured in One Picture

If you could crop out Wallace and Green, it is a group shots of Crawford, Span, Sapp, Summers, and Rivers. That could be the starting lineup cover picture for my worst/skilled but hugely selfish Georgetown players of the decade team.

Section 101.

by RileysDressLikeAHoyaJersey on Feb 22, 2010 2:28 PM EST reply actions  

What’s your beef with Crawford?

What are these assertions!?

by DHB Enterprises on Feb 22, 2010 2:32 PM EST up reply actions  

agree

crawford is a great guy. no complaints about playing time or anything from him. have seen him at a bunch of games this year.

Good talk.

by Hire Esherick on Feb 22, 2010 2:56 PM EST up reply actions  

It is amazing that............

…we can be ranked #11 in the country yet still be at serious risk of being a .500 team in conference. I am not smart enough to know where we win and lose but I fear a 1-3 finish.

Having said that, talent-wise, I think we are second only to ’Cuse in the league. I am not sure, however, we have the second best coach in the league. As much as I like JTIII on so many dimensions, this season is almost over and it is time to stop blaming players (the SAME players) for on-the-court mistakes (the SAME mistakes). Lessons need to be taught and learned. Yes……….our team is “young”……………….but it is also pretty experienced in terms of playing time. Just stop the stupid and lazy plays and the occasional insanity. And hit some foul shots.

It will be an interesting 4 games, Big East tournament, and NCAA tournament (I assume we still make it even if we lose out and then lose to Rutgers in the BIg East tournament :) ).

With paranoia,

by hoyaparanoia on Feb 22, 2010 2:59 PM EST reply actions  

11th in the United States

…and 7th in the Big East.

Makes sense.

Casually.

by CasualHoya on Feb 22, 2010 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

losing faith

this is the same thing that happened last year except last year our collapse started much earlier…Losing to rutgers? south florida? cmon…i expect us to enter the big east tourney with no momentum lose to a mediocre team, make the tourney as a middle seed and then lose in the 1st or 2nd round…Monroe will prob do his usual disappearing act…freeman has been great but he needs some help, and i dont think it will come from our bench…

by FarrarFan on Feb 23, 2010 12:02 PM EST reply actions  

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