Pat Forde puts us in his top 10 to win the whole damn thing - in spite of 35 minutes of basketball that looked worse than Sonia Sotomayor's ass - yes, you know its there, you can't imagine how (hairy/nasty/<<insert your term of choice>>) it is, but once you've seen it, you'll never be able to get it out of your head.
Georgetown (9). Why the Hoyas can win it: Greg Monroe is playing like the budding star he was billed to be out of high school in 2008. He didn't play well against Syracuse, but the 6-11 sophomore is a solid scorer, an aggressive rebounder and an underrated passer. Monroe has capable co-stars in leading scorer Austin Freeman and fellow guard Chris Wright. The Hoyas take good shots and make them -- and John Thompson III has loosened the reins a bit. His team scored more than 70 points in five straight Big East games before Monday, something it hasn't done since 2007, when Georgetown made the Final Four.
Why they might not: This is a six-man rotation -- if someone gets hurt, the Hoyas are toast. Thompson might be too dogmatic for his own good, often refusing to alter the system to fit the situation. The Hoyas don't foul much, but they don't get to the line much, either, averaging just 19 free-throw attempts per game. The way they played at Syracuse on Monday -- at least in the final 35 minutes -- didn't inspire visions of April splendor in Indianapolis.
Record against RPI top 50: 4-3.
Record against RPI top 100: 8-4.
For the record, I like UNC laying 1 @ NC State tonight.