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The Magic of KenPom



For the purposes of SCIENCE, I am undertaking a study on how certain victories (or defeats) changes the prospects for our dear Hoyas in the giant computer brain of Ken Pomeroy.  The first results are in!

Before the Pitt game I marked down his expectations for the rest of our season. Not including the expected loss at Pitt, he had us down for five other losses: at Cuse, Louisville and West Virginia, and against Duke and Cuse at home.  After the Pitt win, the home Cuse game, which had been a 46 percent chance of a victory, moved to 51 percent, and thus a W.  It seemed all the other games also moved about three or four percent in our favor.

He hasn't updated his stats yet (as of this 9:37am Eastern writing) to reflect Louisville's loss at Seton Hall and that game, now at 47 percent, looks to be the next to tip. If I were better at spreadsheets, I'd also like to examine how Washington sucking up a storm out West is wrecking us.  But that's too hard.

Finally, we have a two percent chance of losing to Rutgers tomorrow.  My next post will be how that SEASON ENDING LOSS is reflected in these relatively useless stats.

Stay Casual, my friends.

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