Tuesday, January 12th: Casual Hoya Celebrates Crap Day!
by CasualHoya on Jan 12, 2010 9:15 AM EST
in Random Ramblings
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PrintLook, we know it's Tuesday and that the Hoyas don't play until Thursday. But that doesn't mean we can take days off. So while you spend the today prepping for the big debut of American Idol, we're going to throw a bunch of Random Ramblings at you all day. That's right, all day. So be sure to check back during your special Tuesday for the kind of riveting, witty and insightful commentary that you've come to expect from us.
What better way to kick off Crap Day here at the Global Phenomenon that is Casual Hoya by checking in with our favorite prognosticator who may or may not live in his mother's basement. Here's a look into how Mr. Ken Pomeroy projects the remainder of Georgetown's season:
See 'Projections' after The Jump:
Thu Jan 14 (59) Seton Hall W, 80-70 72 83% Home Sun Jan 17 (28) Villanova L, 77-74 71 40% Away Wed Jan 20 (29) Pittsburgh L, 62-60 63 40% Away Sat Jan 23 (176) Rutgers W, 77-57 67 97% Home Mon Jan 25 (4) Syracuse L, 77-68 72 18% Away Sat Jan 30 (2) Duke L, 72-66 68 28% Home Wed Feb 3 (75) South Florida W, 68-58 64 86% Home Sat Feb 6 (28) Villanova W, 78-72 71 70% Home Tue Feb 9 (88) Providence W, 80-74 73 71% Away Sun Feb 14 (176) Rutgers W, 72-60 67 89% Away Thu Feb 18 (4) Syracuse L, 73-72 72 45% Home Tue Feb 23 (26) Louisville L, 72-69 69 39% Away Sat Feb 27 (72) Notre Dame W, 80-69 67 85% Home Mon Mar 1 (9) West Virginia L, 68-62 63 26% Away Sat Mar 6 (55) Cincinnati W, 69-60 66 82% Home Projected record: 21-8 12-6
21 wins with 12 coming in the brutal Big East? Does this make you happy? Does this make you nervous?
Do you find it kind of funny? Do you find it kind of sad?
Do you think anything at all?
Casually?
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Louisville v Nova
Definitely concerned about playing each of those teams and KenPom’s prediction of 1-2 sounds pretty much spot on. Strong backcourts and some decent talent up front but both teams have deep talent and push the entire game. Controlling the tempo will be a major issue.
by itsallthatmatters on Jan 12, 2010 9:21 AM EST reply actions
No one complains
About a double decker
Especially not LordNick
by itsallthatmatters on Jan 12, 2010 11:04 AM EST up reply actions
Crappy indeed
We cannot lose both games to Syracuse. I don’t like the predictions. We lose to all the ‘good’ big east teams. Do over.
by iheartgregmonroe on Jan 12, 2010 11:02 AM EST reply actions
rose colored predictions
the idea that we won’t lose a game to a non-ranked big east team is certainly not based on any historical precedent. we are going to mail one in against a lesser team and get a loss.(rutgers on valentines day jumps out) It’s as predictable as the fact that we will beat syracuse this year, no matter how good or bad they are.
KENPOM IS CRAP
that dude predicted we would win the World Cup after beating Memphis and Uconn last year.
what a crock.
Good talk.
No sir, you are incorrect
We are not losing the second Syracuse game at home by one point. I am dragging my 38 week pregnant wife to the game to cheer on our guys, and such a loss would probably not be good for the pregnancy, so JTIII better get that W.
by SomebodyBuyAustinaSteak on Jan 12, 2010 12:29 PM EST reply actions
Game by Game v. Season Projections
KenPom is not saying that we won’t lose to an unranked Big East team for the rest of the season, nor is he saying that we won’t beat any of the good Big East teams for the rest of the season. All he is saying is that game for game, this is how we are most likely to perform in each of these matchups (predicted at this point in time).
Certainly KenPom would tell you that even with these projections, odds are very good that we will beat one or more of the “good” Big East teams and lose to one or more of the unranked Big East teams. This is why KenPom’s end of season projections often don’t correspond to his game by game projections (as they don’t in our case).
If a team has a 40% chance of winning 5 games, then he’ll put each of those games down as losses. But KenPom would likely predict that we’d go 1-4 or even 2-3 in that stretch because the odds are we’ll win one or two of those games.
Just like if Albert Pujols has a uniform .300 batting average against 10 pitchers, the predictions would say that Pujols would lose each of those matchups to the pitchers. So KenPom might give the pitcher the matchup edge in each of those matchups, but then predict that Pujols will win 3 of the 10.
Capisce?
(I wish I was better at math so I could offer better examples.)
and it changes every game. if we beat nova we would probably beat cuse at home.
thats why after beating uconn and memphis last year KenPom said the Hoyas were likely to win the LPGA tour
Good talk.
by Hire Esherick on Jan 12, 2010 2:30 PM EST up reply actions
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